AUD/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, Oil, Bitcoin Weekly Technical Outlook

Weekly Technical Trade Levels on USD Majors, Commodities & Stocks

• Technical setups we are tracking into the weekly open
• Next Weekly Strategy Webinar: Monday, June 16 at 8:30am EST
• Review the latest Video Updates or Stream Live on my YouTube playlist.

In this webinar we take an in-depth look at the technical trade levels for the US Dollar (DXY), Euro (EUR/USD), British Pound (GBP/USD), Australian Dollar (AUD/USD), Canadian Dollar (USD/CAD), Japanese Yen (USD/JPY), Swiss Franc (USD/CHF), Gold (XAU/USD), Silver (XAG/USD),  Crude Oil (WTI), S&P 500 (SPX500), Nasdaq (NDX), Dow Jones (DJI), and Bitcoin (BTC/USD). These are the levels that matter on the technical charts into the weekly open.

Australian Dollar Price Chart – AUD/USD Weekly

Chart Prepared by Michael Boutros, Sr. Technical Strategist; AUD/USD on TradingView

Aussie is trading into a critical resistance range into the start of the week at 6511/50- a region defined by the July close low and the 61.8% retracement of the 2024 decline. Note that the 75% parallel converges on this threshold this week – looking for possible inflection here with the near-term rally vulnerable while below.

A topside breach exposes a potential run towards the upper parallel / 2019 low at 6670. Initial support rests with the February high-week close (HWC) at 6357 with a break / close below the low-week close (LWC) / 38.2% retracement of the yearly range at 6290-6300 needed to mark resumption of the broader downtrend. Review my latest Australian Dollar Short-term Outlook for a closer look at the near-term AUD/USD technical trade levels.

Oil Price Chart – WTI Daily

Chart Prepared by Michael Boutros, Technical Strategist; WTI on TradingView

Oil prices have rallied more than 18.1% off the yearly lows with WTI testing initial resistance today at the April swing high / 38.2% retracement of the yearly range at 64.90. A critical resistance pivot is eye just higher at the 2020 high / 2023 close low at 65.62-66.31. Note that the 75% parallel of the yearly downtrend converges on this zone and further highlights the technical significance of this threshold in the days ahead. Risk for possible price inflection / exhaustion into this region IF reached with the multi-week advance vulnerable while below.

A topside breach exposes the 200-day moving average / 100% extension of the May advance near 68.65 and the upper parallel. Broader bearish invalidation remains with the 61.8% retracement / 2025 yearly open at 70.95-71.90. Initial support rest with the median-line (currently ~61.75) and is backed by the monthly open at 60.77. A close below the 2020 high-week close (HWC) at 59.16 is needed to mark resumption of the broader downtrend.

Economic Calendar – Key USD Data Releases

Economic Calendar - latest economic developments and upcoming event risk.

--- Written by Michael Boutros, Sr Technical Strategist

Follow Michael on X @MBForex