Wall Street Futures, ASX 200 Hint at Swing Lows

President Trump has granted a delay to the European Union’s 50% tariffs to July, a pattern we’re now becoming all too familiar with. It allowed risk to regain its footing during quiet trade in Asia on Monday, with Wall Street futures printing small but bullish engulfing candles.

View related analysis:

S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Dow Jones Technical Outlook: Wall Street Futures in Focus

The daily RSI (2) moved from oversold and rose above 50 for all three Wall Street futures. The S&P 500 found support at the 20-day EMA on Friday and closed back above its September and January lows on Monday. The Nasdaq 100 held above the January low despite a false break of it on Friday while the Dow Jones closed back above its 20-day EMA.

I’m not anticipating large moves to the upside, but if Wall Street futures didn’t; fall on bad news then it makes them more susceptible to a rally on marginally good news. And that could bode well for ASX 200 bulls over the near term.

ASX 200 (Australian 200 Index) at a Glance

It was a mixed performance for the ASX 200 on Monday, with five sectors rising and six declining
Utilities led the way lower, info tech and materials were leaders
87 ASX 200 stacks advanced, 4 declined, 19 were flat
The ASX 200 cash market shows prices are compressing on the daily chart, which suggests it could be approaching a period of volatility
ASX 200 futures (SPI 200) rose 20 points overnight (0.24%)

ASX 200 Futures (SPI 200) Technical Outlook

The ASX 200 has continued to defy the doomsayers, rising nearly 18% from its April low to last week’s high. It hasn’t seen much of a pullback, though prices have been moving more or less sideways over the past couple of weeks.

A bullish pinbar formed on Monday, and its daily low held above the 20-day EMA, 8280 high and 8300 handle. The setup is simple; bulls could consider dips within yesterday’s range in anticipation of a break above last week’s high, for a move to 8500 or the highs around 8600.

Economic Events in Focus (AEST / GMT+10)

09:01 – UK Shop Price Index
09:50 – Japanese Corporate Services Price Index
11:30 – Chinese Industrial Profits YTD
15:00 – Japanese Core CPI (Bank of Japan)
16:00 – German Consumer Climate (GfK)
18:00 – BoE Hauser Speaks
18:00 - FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks
19:00 – European Sentiment Index, Consumer Price Inflation Expectations
22:30 – Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Apr)
01:00 – CB Consumer Confidence (May)
01:30 – Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q2)

-- Written by Matt Simpson

Follow Matt on Twitter @cLeverEdge

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