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COT Report Highlights From 24 June 2025

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Weekly Market Positioning Overview – COT Report Highlights (24 June 2025)

•    US Dollar (USD): Traders were effectively net-short the US dollar by $21 billion last week (a 5-year high)
•    European dollar (EUR): Large speculators increased net-long exposure by 9.6k contracts, with longs rising 1.3% (2.9k contracts) and shorts falling by -5.5% (-6.6k contracts)
•    British pound (GBP): Net-long exposure declined by -8.5k contracts, with gross-longs falling -6.1% (-6.4k contracts) and shorts rising 3.2% (2k contracts) 
•    Japanese yen (JPY): Net-long exposure was effectively flat at 132.3k contracts long
•    Australian dollar (AUD): Net-short exposure rose by 3.2k contracts, though gross-longs rise by -9% (2k contracts) and shorts increased by (5.8%) 5.2k contracts
•    Canadian dollar (CAD): Gross-shorts fell by -17% (-16.1k contracts), making it the third consecutive week of short covering form CAD bears
•    Swiss franc (CHF): Net-short exposure increased by ~10k contracts between large speculators and asset managers
•    New Zealand dollar (NZD): Flipped to net-long exposure for the first time since October and to an 11-month high, with gross-longs rising 27% (4k contracts)
•    Gold (GC): Net-log exposure fell by -5.4k contracts, with gross-shorts rising by 4.2% (1.6k contracts)
•    Silver (SI): Net-long exposure by down by -4.3k contracts, though speculative volumes were lower with longs falling -5.1% and shorts down -1.3%
•    Crude Oil (WTI): Managed funds actually reduced their net-long exposure to crude oil by -.1k contracts last week, ahead of the large selloff 

Commitment of Traders (COT) chart showing large speculator percent rank across major assets. AUD net shorts are near multi-year extremes, with a 3-year rank of just 18% and a 3-month rank of 8.3%. In contrast, JPY, NZD, and Silver hold elevated net-long positions near or above 85% across all time frames. Bonds also show strong bullish positioning, with 10-year Treasury futures near the top of their 3-year range (96.1%). Meanwhile, speculative sentiment on US indices like the Nasdaq and S&P 500 remains mixed. Data sourced from CME and Refinitiv.

Get our exclusive guide to EUR/USD trading in 2025

 

Bar chart of large-speculative positioning as a percentage of open interest across major asset classes. Net short positions are prominent in AUD, CAD, CHF, and NZD, with AUD and NZD showing the most extreme bearish exposure. JPY positioning has flipped back to a modest net long, while Gold and Silver remain strongly net long. US equity indices (S&P 500, Nasdaq, DJI) and bonds (2-year and 10-year notes) are all held with bullish bias by large speculators. Dots indicate 52-week highs (purple) and lows (red) for positioning extremes. Data sourced from CME and Refinitiv.

 


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-- Written by Matt Simpson

Follow Matt on Twitter @cLeverEdge

 

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